US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace dea...

Vol 24h: $5.3M Total: $17.2M Liq: $291.6K Ends: 2026-05-26 Trade on Polymarket →
10%
Yes
90%
No
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10%
Yes
90%
No

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News Impact

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Details of US-Iran deal begin to emerge after Trump announces progress - AP News

The emergence of specific deal details and public confirmation of progress by the President significantly increases the likelihood of a formal agreement being finalized by the May deadline.

8/10
Iran War Live Updates: Trump Says Peace Deal Is Near - The New York Times

A direct statement from a key political figure claiming a peace deal is imminent significantly increases the probability of a deal being reached before the 2026 deadline.

8/10

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