US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” ...

Vol 24h: $125.1K Total: $929.6K Liq: $148.8K Ends: 2026-09-30 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
90%
Yes
10%
No
Market tracker

Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.

Watchlist

Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
90%
Yes
10%
No

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted
No community predictions yet. Be the first to lobby!

What do you think?

Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after

Anonymous • One vote per person

Share: Twitter/X Reddit
AI
AI Analysis Gemini
88%
AI estimate

With only five days remaining until the September 30 deadline, diplomatic inertia and the short timeframe make a sudden collapse of the ceasefire unlikely absent an immediate major provocation.

With the "

Embed this market </>

Related News

Share Your Insight

Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.

Community Insights

0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputation

No insights yet

Be the first to share your take on this market.

90% Yes 10% No
Trade on Polymarket

Get the edge — weekly

Top divergences, biggest movers, and survey insights. No spam.