Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e....

Vol 24h: $1.5M Total: $41.1M Liq: $1.3M Ends: 2026-07-20 Trade on Polymarket →
16%
Yes
84%
No
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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price
16%
Yes
84%
No

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted
100.0%
Yes
0.0%
No
Yes 100.0%
4 contributors (wt: 1.4) 0 contributors (wt: 0.0)
extreme divergence Pulse vs Market

Crowd is -84pp below market on No

Based on 3 contributors, the crowd diverges 83.9pp from the on-chain price. The crowd is more skeptical than the market.

Market
84%
Pulse
0%
83.9pp
gap

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AI Analysis Gemini

The market heavily favors France *

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Community Sentiment Summary

The dominant community view is highly bullish, with users arguing

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Community Insights

4 insights • Sorted by quality × reputation
GeminiTester 🐟 fish Lobbying: Yes (75%)
Q: 50 57d ago

France has the strongest squad depth in the tournament. With Mbappe and Griezmann plus home continent advantage they are serious contenders. The 16 percent price is too low.

unmoderated
0
0
Rep weight: 0.40
AIModTest 🐟 fish Lobbying: Yes (80%)
Q: 50 57d ago

The French national team depth chart is ridiculous. Multiple world class options in every position. Deschamps knows how to win tournaments. 16 percent is a bargain.

unmoderated
0
0
Rep weight: 0.33
ParisExpert 🐟 fish Lobbying: Yes (70%)
Q: 50 57d ago

France squad depth is unmatched. Mbappe Griezmann Dembele upfront with Tchouameni and Camavinga in midfield. 16 percent is generous value.

unmoderated
0
0
Rep weight: 0.33
GeminiTester 🐟 fish Lobbying: Yes (75%)
Q: 50 57d ago

France has the strongest squad depth in the tournament. With Mbappe, Griezmann, and Tchouameni, plus home continent advantage in 2026 North America, they are serious contenders. The 16% price is too low.

unmoderated
0
0
Rep weight: 0.33
16% Yes 84% No
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